Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.148937 0.169517 0.192324 0.219544 0.251239 0.287091 0.330869
2026-01-25 0.115602 0.142759 0.175789 0.219235 0.275339 0.345973 0.442622
2026-02-01 0.096132 0.125764 0.164284 0.218676 0.294546 0.398185 0.553184
2026-02-08 0.082357 0.112695 0.154247 0.216335 0.308528 0.443229 0.660344
2026-02-15 0.072049 0.102340 0.145677 0.213613 0.320048 0.484946 0.768964
2026-02-22 0.065927 0.096866 0.142930 0.218404 0.342721 0.546299 0.920024
2026-03-01 0.059116 0.089373 0.135967 0.215253 0.351634 0.586074 1.041545
2026-03-08 0.054133 0.084032 0.131544 0.215319 0.365466 0.635868 1.190949
2026-03-15 0.049887 0.079337 0.127505 0.215283 0.378772 0.686438 1.352214
2026-03-22 0.047083 0.076670 0.126455 0.220183 0.401586 0.758447 1.573421
2026-03-29 0.044347 0.073802 0.124679 0.223415 0.421514 0.827949 1.805384
2026-04-05 0.041813 0.071011 0.122694 0.225905 0.440194 0.897934 2.055441
2026-04-12 0.039857 0.069112 0.122218 0.231463 0.466540 0.990510 2.388509
2026-04-19 0.037441 0.066148 0.119457 0.232116 0.482607 1.063315 2.692427
2026-04-26 0.035143 0.063180 0.116367 0.231659 0.496094 1.132637 3.007364
2026-05-03 0.032854 0.060018 0.112566 0.229178 0.504494 1.191058 3.308635
2026-05-10 0.030748 0.057021 0.108795 0.226274 0.511408 1.247044 3.620196
2026-05-17 0.029618 0.055851 0.108622 0.231391 0.538800 1.363193 4.163786
2026-05-24 0.027800 0.053138 0.104967 0.228026 0.544156 1.419539 4.524942
2026-05-31 0.026437 0.051245 0.102876 0.228096 0.558532 1.505012 5.021442
2026-06-07 0.025174 0.049457 0.100843 0.228058 0.572643 1.592941 5.561310
2026-06-14 0.024413 0.048667 0.100938 0.233291 0.602290 1.735976 6.378800
2026-06-21 0.023566 0.047623 0.100357 0.236743 0.627493 1.870998 7.223310